Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.000098 0.000109 0.000121 0.000136 0.000151 0.000168 0.000188
2024-10-27 0.000081 0.000097 0.000114 0.000136 0.000161 0.000190 0.000227
2024-11-03 0.000068 0.000086 0.000106 0.000133 0.000167 0.000208 0.000261
2024-11-10 0.000060 0.000079 0.000103 0.000136 0.000178 0.000232 0.000305
2024-11-17 0.000052 0.000072 0.000098 0.000134 0.000184 0.000250 0.000344
2024-11-24 0.000047 0.000067 0.000094 0.000135 0.000192 0.000270 0.000387
2024-12-01 0.000041 0.000062 0.000090 0.000133 0.000196 0.000287 0.000426
2024-12-08 0.000037 0.000057 0.000086 0.000132 0.000201 0.000304 0.000467
2024-12-15 0.000034 0.000054 0.000083 0.000132 0.000207 0.000323 0.000512
2024-12-22 0.000031 0.000051 0.000081 0.000132 0.000214 0.000342 0.000559
2024-12-29 0.000029 0.000048 0.000079 0.000132 0.000220 0.000362 0.000609
2025-01-05 0.000026 0.000045 0.000076 0.000130 0.000223 0.000377 0.000651
2025-01-12 0.000024 0.000043 0.000074 0.000131 0.000231 0.000400 0.000709
2025-01-19 0.000022 0.000041 0.000073 0.000132 0.000239 0.000424 0.000773
2025-01-26 0.000020 0.000038 0.000070 0.000130 0.000241 0.000440 0.000823
2025-02-02 0.000019 0.000037 0.000069 0.000132 0.000252 0.000471 0.000903
2025-02-09 0.000018 0.000035 0.000067 0.000131 0.000256 0.000490 0.000963
2025-02-16 0.000017 0.000034 0.000066 0.000132 0.000263 0.000514 0.001036
2025-02-23 0.000015 0.000032 0.000064 0.000130 0.000266 0.000532 0.001095
2025-03-02 0.000014 0.000030 0.000062 0.000129 0.000270 0.000550 0.001160
2025-03-09 0.000013 0.000029 0.000060 0.000129 0.000275 0.000573 0.001234
2025-03-16 0.000013 0.000028 0.000059 0.000129 0.000281 0.000598 0.001314
2025-03-23 0.000012 0.000027 0.000058 0.000129 0.000287 0.000623 0.001398